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Market Movement

Dog Fight

  The Fed left interest rates unchanged yesterday, but the decision was not unanimous. For the first time in over 30 years, two Fed Governors dissented, voting instead to lower…
jeremy
July 31, 2025
Market Movement

The official final GDP reading for the first quarter showed the economy shrinking 0.5% to start the year. We'll see the first draft of the second quarter GDP next week,…
jeremy
July 25, 2025
Market Movement

Across the country, Housing Completions are down 25% from the cyclical high 11 months ago.  However, the latest employment poll shows that the construction sector is growing, creating 15K new…
jeremy
July 21, 2025
Market Movement

A Political Grudgematch

The grudge match between the unswayable Fed and the Executive Branch continues.  Donald Trump has threatened to fire Jerome Powell citing dissatisfaction with high interest rates, but legal experts say Trump wouldn't…
jeremy
July 18, 2025
Market Movement

Rates Rising Further

Mortgage pricing continues to trickle downward, putting upward pressure on interest rates. The 10 year Treasury Note has risen above all technical ceilings and has almost 1/2% to more to…
jeremy
July 14, 2025
Market Movement

Tariff Battles Continue

Not a very active news week, so to spice things up, our President announced a 35% tariff on those pseudo-socialists to the north of us.  Now, I don't know how you…
jeremy
July 11, 2025
Market Movement

Happy Fourth of July!

There are a lot of great things about America, not the least of which are three day weekends with lots of food and fireworks.  So happy birthday U.S.A.!  And may we…
jeremy
July 3, 2025
Market Movement

Jobs Update & Forecast

The ADP jobs report that was published this morning brings up some serious concerns about the health of the labor market (or possibly the mathematical capabilities of the quants over…
jeremy
July 2, 2025
Market Movement

Bill

Meet Bill, he is big and beautiful.  He is widely know and talked about by people all over the world.  The wealthy, middle class, and impoverished hang on every word…
jeremy
July 1, 2025
Market Movement

I've been out participating in various youth camps for the last three weeks; we had some marvelous experiences, but it's nice to be back in the office again.  Here the…
jeremy
June 17, 2025
Market Movement

Job Market and Inflation

ICE and Cotality both show that home prices across the country have risen 2.0% year over year. Cotality's forecast for appreciation for the next 12 months has dropped from 4.9%…
jeremy
June 3, 2025
Market Movement

First off, I hope you have a wonderful Memorial Day weekend, surrounded by those you love and remembering with great fondness those who have passed on. Not to be trite…
jeremy
May 23, 2025