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Market Movement

Looking For Cracks

The 10 Year Treasury Note seems to have settled down onto a floor of support at 5.29%. The good news is that the rate increases have abated for the moment.…
jeremy
October 8, 2026
Market Movement

I wouldn’t bet on it

The Unemployment Rate ticked up to 4.2% today with only 29,000 new jobs created last month and 60,000 lost over the previous two months on technical revisions. ADP calculates 23,000…
jeremy
October 2, 2026
Market Movement

More Turnovers Please

  Well thankfully September is over. For those of us who like low interest rates, last month was one of the worst in history. Mortgage rates have now risen to…
jeremy
October 1, 2026
Market Movement

Interest Rates are Miserable

The most recent Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report was released this morning showing that inflation Rose .3% last month and is up 3.4% you're over a year. The market was…
jeremy
September 30, 2026
Market Movement

Good is Bad

Yesterday the Federal Open Market Committee raised their overnight borrowing rate 0.25% to 4.0%.  Long-term Bonds and Mortgage initially loved the announcement and mortgage pricing improved.  And then Chair Warsh…
jeremy
September 17, 2026
Market Movement

God Bless America

It was 25 years ago today that two planes crashed into the Twin Towers in New York City. I was in my office in Orem that morning and one of…
jeremy
September 11, 2026
Market Movement

No Good Very Bad Day

Today’s one of those days that just plain sucks for interest rates. The Producer Price Index released this morning shows 0.4% growth MoM and 5.4% YoY. That’s obviously double the…
jeremy
September 10, 2026
Market Movement

It’s Possible

“Liar” is a strong word, so I hesitate using it to label anyone.  So maybe today’s Jobs Report published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics is using creative math (maybe…
jeremy
September 4, 2026
Market Movement

The Pause Button

After moving painfully upward over the last week to the highest levels all year, interest rates have hit the pause button this morning. After another weak employment report via Revelio…
jeremy
September 3, 2026
Market Movement

Kev Lays Down the Law

The annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium draws in all the nerds from around the world. From heads of state and central bankers to captains of industry and high-level quantitative…
jeremy
August 28, 2026
Market Movement

Tomorrow in Jackson

Former Fed Governor Stephen Miran spoke out this morning against hasty rate hikes, stating that the full impact of Fed rate hikes and cuts are not usually felt for 12-18…
jeremy
August 27, 2026
Market Movement

Rising Costs

Last week I posed a semi-rhetorical question as to how our paychecks disappear so fast. This week I thought I’d actually find out where the money’s going. And it’s no…
jeremy
August 21, 2026
Market Movement

Bonds Set to Rise again?

Oil prices are on the rise again, sending stock prices down and bond prices up. And there are two other factors that aren’t helping any either. The Philadelphia Fed Index,…
jeremy
August 20, 2026