These last few weeks, the drumbeat of incoming economic data has become inconsequential, having been eclipsed by the deluge of nail biting soundbites from the Middle-East. The sudden scarcity of…
The stock market is about to close on its fifth straight week of losses as investors grow increasingly concerned about the impact that the conflict in the Middle East will…
The Fed met this week and voted to keep their overnight interest rates unchanged. Sounds just peachy, right? After all, mortgage rates were in the 5’s and that’s palatable. But…
War is never pretty; it’s a gut wrenching byproduct of differing ideologies and unbridled self-interest. The U.S. bombed Iran and now they’re retaliating like a cowardly bully by bombing their…
This morning the US 10 Year Treasury Note yield has slipped convincingly below 4.0% for the first time since last October. The 10 year has quickly shed 0.3% in the last two…
I attended an economic symposium yesterday where the speaker was an economist for the Federal Reserve. Admittedly, and somewhat embarrassingly, I was a little starstruck. I was fascinated to see this guy elaborate…
Slumping Retail Sales, which were expected to increase 0.4% and instead dead flat, are helping boost mortgage bond pricing today. Retail Sales is now -0.4% year over year. Remember that…
The monthly JOLTS report was not released this morning because nobody in the BLS is allowed to do any work. So that data along with the monthly Jobs Report that's…
It's Jobs Week, with the JOLTS, ADP, and BLS reports being published tomorrow, Wednesday, and Friday, respectively. The Unemployment Rate is anticipated to rise back up to 4.5% after spending…
The current administration has selected Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair. I'm sure the Kevinator will get much press time over the next few months as the market tries…
As anticipated, the Fed voted to keep their Overnight Rate unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%. Though the media reports that it was a unanimous decision, there were two voting members who did…
This info will probably not surprise you, but I find graphs very instructive so I'm sharing it anyway. This graph comes from the Mortgage Bankers Association and shows the number…
The Consumer Confidence Survey reflects prevailing business conditions and likely developments for the months ahead. This monthly report details consumer attitudes, buying intentions, vacation plans, and consumer expectations for inflation,…
When your President is a former reality TV star, he knows how to get airtime. I've been following market indicators now for the better part of three decades and have…