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Market Movement

Good is Bad

Yesterday the Federal Open Market Committee raised their overnight borrowing rate 0.25% to 4.0%.  Long-term Bonds and Mortgage initially loved the announcement and mortgage pricing improved.  And then Chair Warsh…
jeremy
September 17, 2026
Market Movement

God Bless America

It was 25 years ago today that two planes crashed into the Twin Towers in New York City. I was in my office in Orem that morning and one of…
jeremy
September 11, 2026
Market Movement

No Good Very Bad Day

Today’s one of those days that just plain sucks for interest rates. The Producer Price Index released this morning shows 0.4% growth MoM and 5.4% YoY. That’s obviously double the…
jeremy
September 10, 2026
Market Movement

It’s Possible

“Liar” is a strong word, so I hesitate using it to label anyone.  So maybe today’s Jobs Report published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics is using creative math (maybe…
jeremy
September 4, 2026
Market Movement

The Pause Button

After moving painfully upward over the last week to the highest levels all year, interest rates have hit the pause button this morning. After another weak employment report via Revelio…
jeremy
September 3, 2026
Market Movement

Kev Lays Down the Law

The annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium draws in all the nerds from around the world. From heads of state and central bankers to captains of industry and high-level quantitative…
jeremy
August 28, 2026
Market Movement

Tomorrow in Jackson

Former Fed Governor Stephen Miran spoke out this morning against hasty rate hikes, stating that the full impact of Fed rate hikes and cuts are not usually felt for 12-18…
jeremy
August 27, 2026
Market Movement

Rising Costs

Last week I posed a semi-rhetorical question as to how our paychecks disappear so fast. This week I thought I’d actually find out where the money’s going. And it’s no…
jeremy
August 21, 2026
Market Movement

Bonds Set to Rise again?

Oil prices are on the rise again, sending stock prices down and bond prices up. And there are two other factors that aren’t helping any either. The Philadelphia Fed Index,…
jeremy
August 20, 2026
Market Movement

Music to My Ears

Piggybacking off of yesterday a little bit, NAR today reported that they also calculate that Pending Home Sales dropped 2.3% last month. That brings the year-over-year rate to a -2.2%…
jeremy
August 19, 2026
Market Movement

Sluggish Home Sales

Seems like only a few months ago that there were a record-low number of homes listed for sale.  Sellers saw multiple offers at top dollar. But we know that’s flipped…
jeremy
August 18, 2026
Market Movement

Which Comes First?

Mortgage rates continue taking signals from changing oil prices and ongoing tensions in the Middle East. But they took a break from the last night’s kerfuffle to focus on the…
jeremy
August 7, 2026
Market Movement

A Tale of Two Economies

I’m hearing more and more chatter about the “tale of two economies”. On the one hand, the stock market continues to hit all-time highs and the unemployment rate is extremely…
jeremy
July 31, 2026