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Market Movement

A New Normal?

The stock market is about to close on its fifth straight week of losses as investors grow increasingly concerned about the impact that the conflict in the Middle East will…
jeremy
March 27, 2026
Market Movement

The Hawks have a Party

The Fed met this week and voted to keep their overnight interest rates unchanged. Sounds just peachy, right? After all, mortgage rates were in the 5’s and that’s palatable. But…
jeremy
March 20, 2026
Market Movement

The Price of Everything

War is never pretty; it’s a gut wrenching byproduct of differing ideologies and unbridled self-interest. The U.S. bombed Iran and now they’re retaliating like a cowardly bully by bombing their…
jeremy
March 6, 2026
Market Movement

Fed Fishing

I attended an economic symposium yesterday where the speaker was an economist for the Federal Reserve.  Admittedly, and somewhat embarrassingly, I was a little starstruck.  I was fascinated to see this guy elaborate…
jeremy
February 13, 2026
Market Movement

Shrinkage?

Slumping Retail Sales, which were expected to increase 0.4% and instead dead flat, are helping boost mortgage bond pricing today. Retail Sales is now -0.4% year over year.  Remember that…
jeremy
February 10, 2026
Market Movement

Closed For Business, Again

It's Jobs Week, with the JOLTS, ADP, and BLS reports being published tomorrow, Wednesday, and Friday, respectively. The Unemployment Rate is anticipated to rise back up to 4.5% after spending…
jeremy
February 2, 2026
Market Movement

New Fed Daddy

The current administration has selected Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair.  I'm sure the Kevinator will get much press time over the next few months as the market tries…
jeremy
January 30, 2026
Market Movement

Trigger Finger

As anticipated, the Fed voted to keep their Overnight Rate unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%. Though the media reports that it was a unanimous decision, there were two voting members who did…
jeremy
January 29, 2026
Market Movement

PCE & CPI Calculations

This info will probably not surprise you, but I find graphs very instructive so I'm sharing it anyway.  This graph comes from the Mortgage Bankers Association and shows the number…
jeremy
January 28, 2026
Market Movement

January Consumer Confidence

The Consumer Confidence Survey reflects prevailing business conditions and likely developments for the months ahead. This monthly report details consumer attitudes, buying intentions, vacation plans, and consumer expectations for inflation,…
jeremy
January 27, 2026
Market Movement

Surprise Me

When your President is a former reality TV star, he knows how to get airtime. I've been following market indicators now for the better part of three decades and have…
jeremy
January 23, 2026