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Market Movement

Oil & Interest Rates

Lowering oil prices are helping interest rates drop as well.  The chart above shows how they've been moving in lock step since the first of the year, as we continue…
jeremy
February 25, 2025
Market Movement

American Homes

Last Week, Redfin published that home values increased 5.2% in 2024.  That's a higher calculation than other studies which concluded an appreciation rate somewhere in the mid 4's when looking at some…
jeremy
February 24, 2025
Market Movement

The Uncertainty Index

If we look at how well we think we understand global economic policy on a scale between "I have a pretty good idea of what's going on" and "wow, I'm completely…
jeremy
February 21, 2025
Market Movement

Squeeze Play

Mortgage backed securities are approaching the apex finale of an exciting squeeze play which will determine which way interest rates pop out of the building pressure cooker. The five month…
jeremy
February 19, 2025
Market Movement

Read Past the Headlines

This morning's JOLTS report shows that there are currently only 7.6 million job openings in the United States.  Available new positions have dropped 15% over the last 12 months indicating that companies…
jeremy
February 4, 2025
Market Movement

The Fed's favorite gauge of inflation, Personal Consumption Expenditures, was released this morning, revealing that we consumers spent 0.2% more money last month than the month before. The Index is…
jeremy
January 31, 2025
Market Movement

A slew of partly-cloudy data out today keeps the technical picture for mortgage bonds looking favorable. Consumer Confidence dropped from 109.5 to 104.1. Durable Goods orders went from -2.0% to…
jeremy
January 28, 2025
Market Movement

The Experts Agree

  I've been a mortgage loan officer now for more than a quarter century.  This week, someone said "wow, you're like an expert!".  I told her I was going to…
jeremy
January 24, 2025
Market Movement

Both wholesale and retail inflation numbers were released this week, showing that prices have risen more than they did last month, but not as much as experts expected.  The at-best…
jeremy
January 17, 2025
Market Movement

The monthly Producer Price Index was released this morning showing a 0.2% increase month over month and a 3.3% rise year over year.  Wholesale prices continue to methodically rise ever…
jeremy
January 14, 2025
Market Movement

One of the key indicators of a vibrant economy is job creation, and one of the greatest measures of inflation is wages paid.  Today's BLS Jobs Report showed good news…
jeremy
January 10, 2025
Market Movement

CoreLogic chimed in this morning with their Home Price Index.  Generally on the conservative side, CoreLogic computes that values have increased 3.4% over the last year and should continue upwards…
jeremy
January 7, 2025
Market Movement

Quick 2025 Forecast

The earliest calculations are showing that homes appreciated at 4.5% over the 12 months ending December 31, 2024.  This is unsurprising despite the number of people who thought prices would…
jeremy
January 6, 2025
Market Movement

New Debt Crisis

The United States is currently facing a debt crisis that's a bigger mess that the catch-all drawer in your kitchen.  You know the one that gets every miscellaneous charging cable, sauce…
jeremy
January 3, 2025